What is coming out of this round is that moving trade finance online is bringing about a modest decline in both the costs and the risks of the finance of international trade. This seems to hold for both banks providing trade finance and for users of that finance.
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A popular tool for illustrating a risk vs. cost trade-off is a graph of an efficient frontier. Any point on the frontier line represents the risk and the cost of a particular activity or transaction. For example consider an importer paying an exporter for goods by payment in advance. This transaction is shown on the graph at point A. The cost of funds transfer is low, but the risk (of non shipment, or non-compliant shipment) is high. The importer could reduce his risk by arranging for a bank to do documentary collection, or issue a letter of credit. These alternatives both reduce the importers risk but also cost more than a simple funds |
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| transfer. These alternative points are shown on the graph as points B and C. In a given economic environment, it is not possible to arrange a transaction where both the risk and the cost are reduced. So it is not possible to map a transaction on the graph below the efficient frontier line. It is possible to set up transactions above the line, by using the services of a more expensive finance provider (which increases cost to the importer) or by using a less reputable and less well-connected finance provider (which increases the risk). However, over time, importers will tend to shop around for risk & cost positions on or very close to the frontier line. | ||
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With the advent of online trade finance tools, the costs of some products reduces as competition recognizes the savings available through client data entry, automated straight through processing, and so on; while risk is also reduced by changes such as faster and more secure transactions limiting the opportunity for exchange risk, credit risk and fraud to take place. This systemic change to the economic environment is having the effect of shifting the efficient frontier down and or to the left so that risk vs. cost trade-off positions not previously possible are now the norm. This effect has been documented in other industries before and was put forward as an expectation of the effect of online systems on the financial world as early as the 1970s. |
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Inquiries should be directed to:
Mark Dixon,
mdixon@ecel.uwa.edu.au, |