International Trade

Trade Policies using Game Theory

Example - Monopolist and New Entrant in the World Market

In this example, there is a monopolist in the market facing a potential new entrant. The monopolist can choose to fight (F) or acquiesce (A). The new entrant can choose to enter (E) or not (N). The payoffs are as follows:

  • If the new entrant doesn't enter the market, the monopolist will retain its position. [1]
  • If the new entrant enters and the monopolist fights, they will both lose market share. [2]
  • If the new entrant enters and the monopolist acquiesces, they both gain, but the monopolist's share is reduced. [3]


  • We find that there is no dominant strategy for either player, but there are two Nash equilibria (F, N) and (A, E). [4]

    Backward Induction

    In this game, it is the new entrant who makes the first move - to enter or not.

    If it chooses E, [1] the monopolist has two choices F and A, [2] and will choose A for a payoff of 2. [3] On the other hand, if the new entrant chooses N, [4] the monopolist again has two choices, both of which have the same payoff. [5]

    Now, if the new entrant compares its payoffs for each of the monopolist's choices, [6] it finds that its best payoff is 2, by entering the market and the monopolist acquiescing. [7]
    If the government of the potential entrant considers the sector is important, the government can provide an incentive by subsidising the entrant and guaranteeing positive profits when it enters the market.


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